Republican Pollster Says Trump’s Deluded For Thinking He Can Win With Just White Votes

While appearing on a CNN podcast, veteran GOP pollster Whit Ayres explained that there aren't any hidden white votes that will magically turn up.
Real estate developer Donald Trump, gestures during a news conference with the PGA in New York

From the moment he launched his campaign for president last year, it has been obvious that Donald Trump’s strategy to get to the White House was to mobilize and energize white voters, In fact, it was evident from the get-go that he’d be relying solely on white votes as his message was entirely built on white resentment and fear of brown people.

Sure, he’s engaged in Black Panderfest 2016 as of late, pretending to appeal to African-American voters. But that is really all about showing white suburban housewives that he’s not really totally racist. Besides, is there really any expectation that black voters will flock to Trump when he tells them what they hell do they have to lose after he says their lives suck and he wants to implement nationwide stop-and-frisk?

On top of that, he continues to use Hispanics and Muslims as scapegoats in his fake reach out to the black community. And that is all intentional. Whether it is demonizing Syrian refugees, calling for profiling, exaggerating the crime rate of undocumented immigrants and yelling “Build the wall,” Trump’s whole strategy appears to be to alienate every non-white voter in the country with the hopes of drawing more whites to his side.

Can this work in the end? One GOP pollster says fuck no, it can’t. Appearing on CNN’s political podcast ‘Party People,’ Whit Ayres told hosts Mary Katherine Ham and Kevin Madden that it is self-delusional to believe you can win the presidency solely with the white vote.


“That’s a wonderful example of how we can delude ourselves into thinking that nothing really has to change,” Ayres recently told CNN’s “Party People” podcast hosts Kevin Madden and Mary Katherine Ham.

The North Star Opinion Research political consultant pointed to an estimated 4.2 million white voters who participated in the 2008 elections but did not vote in 2012, when the GOP nominee lost by 5 million votes nationally.

“So if every single one of them had turned out and voted for Mitt Romney, he still would have lost. Moreover, most of those white voters who didn’t turn out were in deep red states — places like West Virginia and Arkansas and Oklahoma — where the presidential campaign was never competitive and they saw no reason to go and vote.”

“You don’t get bonus Electoral College points for that,” Ham added.


Ayres pointed to George W. Bush’s campaigns to show that a Republican can bring in a significant portion of the Latino and Hispanic vote, noting that in 2004, Bush won 44%. He stated that Bus, being from Texas, spoke a sort of Spanish, just like he spoke a “sort of English.” Since then, though, the GOP has been fiercely opposed to any immigration reform, leading to Hispanics bolting from the party, resulting in Mitt Romney’s 27% performance in 2012.

Meanwhile, the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo poll shows Trump only attracting 17% of the Hispanic vote. 17%!!! Yet, even with this rock-bottom percentage with a large and growing voter block, unlike with African-Americans, Trump’s campaign still refuses to even pretend to appeal to them. Politico’s Shane Goldmacher reported that the campaign has not released any ads in Spanish nor even provided Spanish-language options on its websites and other materials.

But, apparently, Trump is convinced that he can squeeze out some more white votes in the swing states that will push him over the top.

Justin Baragona is the editor and publisher of Contemptor. Prior to starting the site, he worked on the editorial staff of PoliticusUSA. During that time, he had his work quoted by USA Today and BBC News, among others. Justin began his published career as a political writer for 411Mania. He currently resides in St. Louis, MO with his wife and pets.
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